“Shameful” double standards: Medialens on Monbiot & Pilger October 29, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed
“the Mirror, along with the other anti-war daily newspaper in Britain, the Independent, was vindicated” — John Pilger (on Iraq coverage)

Medialens's David Edwards & David Cromwell - the Bono & Edge of web-based media criticism?
George Monbiot writes in the Guardian that Tony Blair is a “mass murderer”, “contemptuous of democracy” who “greases up to wealth and power and lets the poor go to hell”. Medialens responded by criticising Monbiot: “This type of dissent is one of the bars on our prison cell”. When John Pilger (a friend of the Medialens editors) writes similar things in the corporate media about Blair, Medialens praise him (endlessly).
Medialens have done us a favour by encapsulating much of the idiocy (and double standards) of their own approach in a brief few paragraphs. Let’s see if we can peel away their rhetoric to reveal the illogic. On the subject of George Monbiot, Naomi Klein and Mark Thomas appearing in the Guardian, they write:
Their appearances stifle the idea that there is a need to turn elsewhere, to develop new forms of media. The more dramatic the better, from the media’s perspective – arrest Blair! Marvellous! This is just what they want to see – tiny doses of high-profile dissent keeping us all in our corporate media consumer boxes. This is actually a disaster for progressive change. (Medialens editors, 27/10/09)
So, their appearances “stifle” ideas? How does that work? Monbiot writes in the Guardian that Blair is a mass murderer, and this “stifles” the idea that “new forms of media” are necessary? But new forms of media are already here, and readers are probably using them to access Monbiot’s article (since most will probably read it on the web, where it’ll be posted and linked to in innumerable forums, message boards, alternative media sites, etc).

The Mirror attacks Greg Palast, July 1998. Why relevant to Pilger/Monbiot? Keep reading...
When Pilger writes in the mass media that Blair is a war criminal, Medialens celebrate his dissent as hard-hitting and uncompromising – an important and necessary piece of truth among the lies. But when Monbiot writes that Blair is a mass murderer, Medialens want us to see it as a “tiny dose” of “high-profile dissent” that’s cynically used by the media to keep us all in our “corporate media consumer boxes”.
So what is the difference here between Monbiot and Pilger? (Apart from the presumably irrelevant fact that Monbiot has criticised Medialens, whereas Pilger has praised them to such a degree that you might suspect nepotism). Is it that Monbiot’s dissent in the Guardian comes in “tiny doses”, whereas Pilger’s dissent in corporate newspapers is more extensive?
Actually, no. Monbiot’s anti-corporate dissent appears regularly in the Guardian; Pilger’s appears in tinier (or less frequent) doses in various newspapers. Is Pilger’s language more uncompromising than Monbiot’s? Again, no. Monbiot, to repeat, writes that Blair is “one of the two greatest living mass murderers on earth”. Ultimately it doesn’t matter how “hard-hitting” Monbiot is – he can’t win when measured against Medialens’s double standards. The standard applied to Monbiot is: “The more dramatic the better, from the media’s perspective – arrest Blair! Marvellous!” That’s certainly not the standard they apply to Pilger when he uses dramatic language to denounce Blair in the “liberal” media. The first few lines of one of Medialens’s “alerts” provide a typical example of how dramatic language apparently “matters” when it’s Pilger talking:
Writing in the New Statesman last month, John Pilger made the point that matters:
“By voting for Blair, you will walk over the corpses of at least 100,000 people, most of them innocent women and children and the elderly, slaughtered by rapacious forces sent by Blair and Bush…” (Medialens Alert, 3/5/05)
We could compare Pilger and Monbiot on the volume of their criticism specifically of corporate media, but why would we want to conduct such a pointless academic exercise when we could be spending our time exposing, say, the ostensibly respectable Daily Mail framing which spreads hate-filled bigotry like a virus to millions every day? The answer of course is that Medialens’s followers prefer to point the finger of blame at dissenters like Monbiot. One of them, for example, writes: “as the Editors say, Monbiot has nothing to say about the complicity of the mainstream media”. This kind of ignorant claim has been refuted several times on the Medialens message board. One poster to the board provided a long list of examples of Monbiot criticising the media (only to find himself immediately – but no doubt coincidentally – prevented by the Medialens editors from posting anything further).
Although the Medialens editors claim that appearances of dissenters in the ‘liberal’ press “stifles” the idea that we need something better (ie non-corporate), this didn’t stop them from making an appearance in the mainstream:
We, ourselves, write an occasional column for the New Statesman. We do so on the condition, agreed with the editor, that we are free to criticise the press generally and his magazine in particular. And there is much to criticise. (Medialens Alert, 25/6/03)
Indeed there was “much to criticise” in the New Statesman. Alas, the Medialens editors “bent the rules” (their description, referring to their own “rules”) and wrote fewer words criticising the NS in their entire run of columns than Monbiot wrote criticising the Guardian in a single Guardian article. I’ve written about this at length in a previous post. Medialens’s response was to argue that the NS was only “small beer”, that they had “bigger” targets – in contradiction to their previously stated intention (see quote above) that they wanted the freedom to criticise the New Statesman “in particular”. (It’s worth noting that Medialens wrote more words criticising me – a mere nobody – in one of their ‘Alerts‘ than they wrote criticising the NS in their entire run of columns).
Given Medialens’s hypocritical performance with regard to their NS column, they’re in no position to be taking score here. Nor are they in a position to lecture Monbiot about unwittingly supporting the Guardian’s “propaganda system for power” role (as Medialens put it), when their own idea of a shining example, John Pilger, openly praised the Mirror, Independent and (to a lesser extent) Guardian for not promoting establishment propaganda over Iraq.
The quote from Pilger at the top of this blog entry is from Pilger’s own website, johnpilger.com. Actually, it’s not clear if this is really Pilger’s own site or an ITV site – each html page title begins “ITV”, and there appears to be an ITV logo on every page. (An interesting sidenote here: Medialens once publicly emailed Naomi Klein to interrogate – sorry, politely question – her about the Guardian logo on her own website).
Where does ITV fit into Medialens’s theology? Angel or demon? Well, it’s obviously part of the same “propaganda system for power” that Monbiot is allegedly supporting via his dramatic anti-Blair dissent in the Guardian.
If Pilger’s own website is hosted by corporate power and advertises corporate power (which it seems to), where does Pilger fit into Medialens’s suggested scheme for non-corporate “new media”? Could Pilger not move his website somewhere else? Somewhere less associated with the bloody mass slaughter of millions? Have Medialens publicly queried Pilger about this (in the same way that they queried Naomi Klein)? Not to my knowledge.
Conclusion
As you may have guessed by now, I’m subjecting Medialens’s approach to the absurdio* treatment. Where does their “logic” take us when applied (consistently) to John Pilger?
As well as praising the Mirror and Independent (and Guardian to a lesser extent) over their Iraq coverage, Pilger has described the Independent as an “anti-war” paper. And, of course, he has written for each of these papers – he’s provided “tiny doses” of dramatic dissent (just what the “propaganda system for power” requires, according to Medialens). Medialens are in fact aware of this. They’ve written:
we reported how two honest commentators with the power to expose the destructiveness of corporate domination – Noam Chomsky and John Pilger – have been treated by The Guardian and The Observer. Again, they have both appeared in your papers, giving the superficial appearance that the Guardian is a friend of freedom. (Medialens Alert, 6/8/02)
But as Medialens put it here, the problem is the way Chomsky and Pilger have been treated by the media. It’s not their fault that their dissent is being cynically used to present a “superficial appearance”. But it’s the fault of Monbiot when it happens to him. Otherwise why would the Medialens editors repeatedly and very publicly challenge him over his Guardian “appearances” (even to the extent of asking if he’d considered resigning from his column over the Guardian’s Iraq coverage. Medialens, it should be noted, didn’t ditch their own NS column over the NS’s “shameful” Iraq coverage).
Why read anything but the Mirror? After all, Pilger wrote headline antiwar pieces in it and heaped praise on its (then) editor, Piers Morgan. Does that not “stifle” any idea that “there is a need to turn elsewhere” for the truth?
Piers Morgan was editor of the Mirror when it published a front-page picture of Greg Palast, under the headline “THE LIAR” (see picture above). Presumably this was a favour from Morgan to someone in the New Labour government (Palast’s investigative journalism at this time, published, ironically, in the Observer, was damaging and humiliating for Blair, Brown and Mandelson). Let’s apply one of Medialens’s favourite rhetorical devices here: “imagine if”. Imagine if the Mirror had done to Chomsky what it did to Palast. Would Pilger have later bathed Piers Morgan and the Mirror in praise (as he did here)?
There’s really no way around it. Here’s the email that the Medialens editors haven’t yet sent to John Pilger:
Dear John,
You know how much we respect you and admire your work. We must, however, put the following to you, as we’ve been making similar (and very public) criticisms of George Monbiot and others for similar reasons for a long time now. We personally prefer your work to Monbiot’s in many ways, but if we’re really honest with ourselves, many of the criticisms we make of Monbiot could equally apply to you… (snipped)
Sincerely,
David & David
SUGGESTED ACTION
Write to the Medialens editors to ask them why they apply double standards when it comes to Monbiot and Pilger.
Email: editor@medialens.org
* “Reductio ad absurdum treatment” would sound a bit pompous.
# This post, though making a few serious points, is intended as a tongue-in-cheek parody of a Medialens ‘Alert’.
Evidence-based BS October 18, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed
BS stands for Belief System(s). Ideologues often claim that their BS is based on evidence, and it usually is. With enough ingenuity you can find evidence to support even the most absurd claims. But the real test is in addressing the evidence against a given claim. That’s where ideologues show themselves to be little more than BS-merchants.
Take my favourite example, Medialens. They assert that “professional rigour” in the Western media “does not exist”. And in their writings they provide evidence in support of this claim – eg cases where “professional” journalism has been “biased in favour of powerful vested interests” (to quote Medialens). So far, so good. But what about the cases which do appear to meet reasonable standards of “professional rigour”? Well, in the Medialens universe such cases don’t really exist – they only appear to. You see, the “Western” media excels at creating “appearances” which serve power interests, and any evidence which seems to refute Medialens’s claim is just such an appearance. This is the kind of BS which is “logically” set up so that it cannot be refuted. It’s closed BS, circular reasoning – ie worthless in a “scientific” sense.
Still, Medialens are big on “evidence”. In a response to criticism by Steven Poole (author of Unspeak), they wrote:
So we don’t just “bathe everything” in mad polemic. We recognise exactly how extreme these claims may seem and invite readers to consider serious evidence that they can be justified.
The “extreme”-sounding claims (which Poole had criticised) were from Medialens’s book, Newspeak in the 21st Century:
the BBC is part of a system of thought control complicit in the deaths of millions of people abroad, in severe political oppression at home, and in the possible termination of human life on this planet
How would you “justify” these claims with “serious evidence”? Well, you’d first have to understand how a “system of thought control” can be “complicit” in anything. We’ve got a “war on terror” – perhaps we’ll soon have juries finding “systems” guilty of crimes against humanity?
If the BBC is part of a “system of thought control”, what do we mean by BBC? Do we mean each and every BBC employee, or are we referring to a more abstract BBC “culture”? If the former, does a BBC employee remain complicit in “the possible termination of human life” at weekends? And if the latter, are we talking of an institutional culture which is part of a larger system which is in some way complicit in crimes against humanity? Could we be any more abstract in our claims? Is there anyone on the planet who isn’t a part of this “system of thought control” in some sense, and if so, how would we know for sure? How would I, or David Edwards or David Cromwell or Gandhi, Jesus, Buddha or Noam Chomsky go about demonstrating, with serious evidence, that we’re not, on some level, part of the system which is “complicit” in the deaths of millions?
Steven Poole found Medialens’s response to his criticism “ridiculous“.
“Childishly apocalyptic polemic” October 7, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed
Steven Poole (author of Unspeak) criticises Medialens’s book, Newspeak, in his Non-fiction review roundup for the Guardian:
[Medialens] claim that “the BBC is part of a system of thought control complicit in the deaths of millions of people abroad, in severe political oppression at home, and in the possible termination of human life on this planet”. So runs their counterproductive tendency to bathe everything in childishly apocalyptic polemic; they also affect to know what is going on “unconsciously” in journalists’ minds, and seem unaware that their own preferred descriptions of events are often just as rhetorically framed as the versions of the “psychopathic corporate media” (on which they nonetheless rely for factual reference).
Who knows what Medialens’s disciples will make of that. Perhaps they’ll see Poole as an unwitting “servant of Power”, or something*. Anything but allow that he might have a point. I’ve read Poole’s book, Unspeak – it’s full of useful observations, and although it owes something to George Lakoff’s approach, it struck me as being original and “radical”. Which is more than can be said of Medialens’s output.
Poole is smart enough to immediately home in on Medialens’s own special “rhetorical framing”, which creates its own forms of “newspeak” and “thoughtcrime”. I imagine Orwell spinning in his grave over Medialens’s inappropriate and/or unintentionally ironic book title.
* If the linked-to Medialens message board post is no longer available, you can see a screen-capture of it here.
Postscript: other reviews
In addition to Steven Poole’s Guardian piece (see above), there are a couple of other reviews of Newspeak that I found perceptive:
Through a lens darkly, by Phil Chamberlain – for Tribune magazine
Attack of the Clones, by Max Dunbar – for 3:AM magazine
Les Roberts’s new study September 21, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Iraq mortality, Medialens.comments closed
“Our data suggests that the (March 2003) shock-and-awe campaign was very careful, that a lot of the targets were genuine military targets.”
(Les Roberts, explaining Lancet 2006 findings)
Les Roberts’s new* study, ‘Media Coverage of Violent Deaths in Iraq‘, sort of attempts to evaluate the completeness of IBC’s database. The pre-publication references to the study, from Roberts himself (see note below) and his supporters, Medialens, were made in the context of bashing Iraq Body Count, and were incorrect – they stated that the study “found that the majority of violent deaths in a phone sample from Baghdad were not recorded by IBC”. In fact, the study finds that IBC may’ve captured 62% of the violent deaths (or rather that 38% are “absolutely not” in the IBC database). Given that Medialens regularly promoted Roberts’s old claim that IBC capture only 5-10% of deaths, it’s not surprising that they haven’t been shouting from the rooftops about Roberts’s new study.
The study interviewed mainly Baghdad residents (“Seventeen out of 18 primary interviewees resided in Baghdad, although some interviewees described deaths of neighbors that occurred while the neighbors were elsewhere”), and perhaps I was imagining things, but I thought it sounded pretty desperate when it continued with the following statement (after the 38%/62% coverage thing): “Evidence from past studies suggests that IBC reporting is far more complete, and perhaps five times more complete, in Baghdad than in the remainder of the country”. With this claim (which isn’t supported or referenced in the study, as far as I can see) it’s as if Roberts et al are saying: “Well, we’re evaluating what we regard as IBC at its best, covering Baghdad – just wait until you see IBC at its worst, even though we’re not showing you that here, and even though we’re not providing anything at all to substantiate this distinction we’re making”.
Another reason for Medialens (and co.) to stay quiet about the study is the type of “rigour” on display. Here’s an example:
The proportion of deaths [that we] matched in the IBC dataset seemed to increase for shorter recall periods: 22% of deaths were matched in the dataset in 2004, compared to 56% matched in 2007. It cannot be determined whether this is because of changing completeness on the part of IBC, because the interviewers gave less accurate information with longer recalls, or because of some other unseen factor.
Incorrect pre-publication descriptions from Roberts (et al) and Medialens
Roberts (and/or his JHU colleagues) wrote the following incorrect (as explained above) advance description of Roberts’s study (without identifying Roberts as a co-author) in ‘Answers to Questions About Iraq Mortality Surveys’, originally on the JHU website (no longer available, cached version here):
A review of Iraq deaths reported by 4 major U.S. newspapers found that IBC missed more than 1 of every 10 deaths reported by the news media. The separate and soon to be published study from Columbia University researchers also found that the majority of violent deaths in a phone sample from Baghdad were not recorded by IBC. (Siegler A. et al. has been accepted by the journal Prehospital and Disaster Medicine. It is slated for publication in the September 2008.)
Medialens reproduced the incorrect statement almost word for word in their “Alert” of January 22, 2008:
In fact there is no longer any excuse for this innocent reliance on Iraq Body Count (IBC). A review of Iraq deaths reported by four major US newspapers found that IBC missed more than one of every ten deaths reported by the news media. A separate study soon to be published by Columbia University found that the majority of violent deaths in a phone sample from Baghdad were not recorded by IBC.
Notice how Medialens dismiss “innocent reliance on Iraq Body Count” on the basis of an incorrect statement about the findings of a weak study which they hadn’t even seen. Incidentally, the first study mentioned in the above references (“separate” from the Columbia University study) appears to be part of the same study (co-authored by Roberts). There only appears to be one published study.
* It was actually published in 2008, but it’s probably “new” to most readers.
Political cult rhetoric August 27, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed
This just in. It concerns a couple of old posts (this & this – which have just had a lot of traffic from the New Statesman magazine website):
Just linked to your blog from this New Staesman page. I liked the comment [there] claiming Media Lens “very thoroughly” answered your charges of hypocrisy. They “very thoroughly” addressed something, but it certainly wasn’t that!
Only one thing wrong with your response on the “misrepresentation” thing ~ you should have mentioned the bit in their alert [link] where they say it’s “vital for democracy and freedom” that journalists do “hurt the feelings” of their employers (by subjecting “their host media to serious and sustained criticism”). That really nails it in your favour, and it’s actually in the part of the alert they quote to attempt to show you’re “misrepresenting” them.
How do they manage to bamboozle people like that?
http://www.newstatesman.com/uk-politics/2009/08/bbc-wing-bias-corporation
Cheers,
Tom
Yeah, point taken – I missed that. But it was redundant anyway (see ‘logic check’ below). How do they hoodwink people? I don’t know. I suppose the power of language in “evangelical” settings is undeniable – it can make people writhe on the floor and speak “in tongues” (ie in gibberish). And I guess one gets equally bizarre effects in political cults – memory loss, hysteria, paralysis of logical brain functioning, and a net effect of persuasion.
Talking of logical dysfunction, try this:
Basic logic check
Consider the following statement: It’s astonishing that person X is unwilling to perform activity Y.
What inferences can you draw from that, in plain English (since this isn’t formal mathematical logic – it’s what’s known as ‘informal logic‘). Think about it for a moment…
If you’re stuck, here’s a clue. You could logically infer a prior expectation that X is willing to do Y, or that he/she “should” be willing. Otherwise, why would anyone be “astonished” at X’s unwillingness? Is the validity of this inference conditional on the nature of Y? If your answer is “no”, I would agree. Even in the extreme case of Y as an “impossible” activity, the inference seems valid. (Of course, in that case, one would wonder why it’s “astonishing” that X is unwilling to do the impossible).
(Note: paraphrasing often consists of a straightforward unconditional inference, especially when the original statement is simplified by the inference.)
Stephen Soldz on the “mob psychology” of Medialens July 1, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed

In March 2009 a remarkable “discussion” took place on the Medialens message board. It’s no longer available there, and a Google search shows nothing, so I’ll post a few excerpts here…
To summarise: Stephen Soldz, a long-time advocate of the Lancet studies (on Iraqi deaths) changed his mind about the Lancet 2006 study, and wrote, “I do not feel that their estimate of 650,000 post-invasion surplus deaths can be trusted”, and, “the study cannot be considered reliable”.*
Not surprisingly, the Medialens crowd were outraged. One Medialens follower (Gabriele Zamparini) wrote that Soldz was providing “propaganda for the mass murderers”. The Medialens editors added that Soldz’s mind showed signs of being affected by “propaganda weathering and erosion”. Soldz, who’d been a Medialens supporter upto this point, described the Medialens discussion as follows:
I do think that what occurred here is in the spirit of the Stalinist Gulag, or perhaps the Maoist criticism-self-criticism session, though on a vastly different scale, since, thankfully, the folks here are powerless. With one exception, there was no attempt at any real dialog, there was simply a process of finding grounds to dismiss me, combined with a constant hectoring because I didn’t phrase things the way that is to be officially tolerated. But it was the lynch mob psychology that was the most disturbing, and the fact that no one said “STOP!” The message implicitly was being sent to anyone who might publicly deviate from the group consensus that this is what will happen to you should you deviate.
The fact that I received private emails from people who were afraid to speak out against this here is a terrible sign. I would never engage in “dialog” with this group again. [...]
I used to think that we needed a group like Media Lens in the US. Now I am simply thankful that this particular flavor of Stalinism hasn’t yet emigrated. The society you fight for would end up, despite the nice words, as being one of the jackboot stomping on the human face forever.
Thankfully, not all Medialens supporters succumb to the mob psychology. A dwindling few think for themselves. One of them responded to Stephen Soldz’s remarks:
I myself have long given up expecting to enjoy the freedom to participate in open and fair debate here. The last straw came when one of my posts vanished without trace. When I enquired, the [Medialens] Editors admitted they had deleted it. Their excuse that “it didn’t add anything to the debate” struck me as disingenuous. Plainly they were preserving the precious feelings of one of their favoured sons. They could not cite any board rules which it had violated. Seeing this happen, another thread contributor abandoned the board for a long time, though he has since returned. My response was to stay here and post occasionally but to give up the prospect of serious debate governed by anything resembling the principles of logic.
The Editors also claimed to be concerned that valuable truths are being lost in excessive feuding. But they were happy to signal their support for the attack dogs against you [Soldz] in this thread. This must mean that they alone know what these valuable truths are in advance. This is contrary to the principle of freedom of speech.
*Stephen Soldz’s piece on the Lancet 2006 study is available at Znet: http://www.zcommunications.org/znet/viewArticle/20890
[For the full text of the Medialens message board thread which I've quoted from, please contact me via the About page]
Medialens on Flat Earth News – “It’s this stuff that finally kills people” March 11, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Medialens.comments closed

Last year I wrote about Medialens’s attack on Nick Davies’s book, Flat Earth News. I said they’d attempted to portray Davies as a “company man” with “nothing serious to offer”, whose analysis is “flawed”, “naïve”, “old” and “very superficial”. Medialens then replied that:
This is a distortion and in fact a complete reversal of what we wrote. (Medialens editors, 10/3/08)
In fact, I’d quoted Medialens accurately, but they objected that:
Our “nothing serious to offer” comment referred specifically to Davies’s material on proposed solutions, not to the book as a whole. (Medialens editors, 10/3/08)
They also replied that they’d “repeatedly praised the book”.
Perhaps, at this point, you’re unclear about Medialens’s real opinion of the book. Did they “repeatedly praise” it, or did they dismiss it as “very superficial”, “flawed”, “naïve”, etc? Presumably they didn’t do both simultaneously – at least not congruently or sincerely. To help make your mind up, here (exactly one year later) are some new comments from Medialens on Flat Earth News:
Davies’s book was very superficial. His major ‘findings’ were absurd but useful to the mainstream propaganda system – the reason he’s had so much high-profile coverage. You’re not helping people by encouraging them to take him seriously. And of course it just encourages him… (David Edwards, email to Nik Gorecki, posted by the ML eds to their message board, 9/3/09)
Davies is “a Guardian man,” as he’s happy to admit – that tells you pretty much all you need to know about the seriousness of his “expose” of the media. It’s like “a party man” declaring the truth about the Communist party in the Soviet Union and being hailed by the Soviet media as a courageous, amazing whistleblower. It’s complete nonsense. (Medialens editors, ML message board, 9/3/09)
Just take a look at his book – honest journalists are under so much pressure these days they can’t do their jobs properly any more. Utter nonsense. I have literally received greater clarity in discussing these issues with my 11/13-year-old nephews and niece. [...] It’s wrong even to label Davies’s analysis a high school-level production – it’s not that it’s dumb or ill-informed – it’s just not honest. And all these people pretending he’s saying something profound and important – it’s classic Emperor’s New Clothes stuff. (Medialens editors, ML message board, 9/3/09)
In case the Medialens editors regard these accurate quotations as a “complete reversal” of their views, I’ll include the latest example of their “repeated praise” of the book:
There are some good parts in the book – the Observer material on the suppression of Ed Vulliamy’s WMD story +is+ interesting – but should we really be satisfied with crumbs when he blithely misses the whole of the bigger picture? (Medialens editors, ML message board, 9/3/09)
Do you get the picture yet? If not, this final quote from Medialens should do it [my emphasis]:
Davies’s book focuses on side issues and trivial nonsense, and simply ignores everything that really matters about the corporate media. But what’s so extraordinary is that these are really huge, blindingly obvious issues – really big stuff that anyone can see. But for him other stuff matters more. It’s a classic example of how thought control works in our society. It’s not something to be praised; it should be exposed. It’s this stuff that finally kills people. It’s this quiet turning away from what really matters, from what could change things, that ultimately leaves children without limbs in Gaza, mothers with their heads torn off. (Medialens editors, ML message board, 9/3/09)
So, while Medialens claim to “repeatedly praise” Davies’s book, they are saying it represents the kind of “stuff” that “finally kills people”. Medialens use a peculiar “logic” of attenuated complicity to attack their opponents (Davies, Monbiot, Adam Curtis, etc). They regard anyone who doesn’t share their beliefs as potentially (or actually) “complicit” in mass killing (in fact they once stated on their message board that anyone who voted New Labour, post Iraq war, was complicit in war crimes). They seem blissfully unaware of where this logic can lead. (Clue: much of the violence in the world stems from self-righteousness and closed belief systems. And remember: the Holy Inquisition arose from a belief system in which the “saviour of humanity” personified compassion and non-violence).
Pope of debunkers February 15, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Iraq mortality.comments closed
Tim Lambert runs a “science blog” which at times successfully debunks rightwing punditry. At other times, Lambert seems out of his depth. For example, his attempt at “analysis” of media inaccuracy (over Iraq Body Count’s figures) was riddled with errors. He grudgingly corrected this after I pointed out the mistakes, but only partially (it still contains obvious howlers). Remarkably, Lambert admitted that he hadn’t read to the end of the media articles that he was supposedly analyzing.
More recently, Lambert seemed out of his depth when attempting to debunk an award-winning paper published by the Journal of Peace Research (Bias in Epidemiological Studies of Conflict Mortality, by Neil F. Johnson et al). This paper is better known as the “main street bias” work which was critical of the 2006 Lancet study on Iraqi deaths (and which has been expanded in a new paper for the European Physics Letters journal).
Lambert’s attempts to debunk this research (which he’d previously dismissed as “bogus”) boil down to three banal observations:
- That it’s possible to disagree with the example parameter values used in the paper (values used to suggest possible bias in the Lancet Iraq study – nobody knows the actual values, partly because the Lancet authors won’t release necessary information). (Main blog post)
- That you can construct a hypothetical case which ignores the premises of the main street bias model in order to “demonstrate” that you can ignore those premises. (Comment #55)
- That you can falsely impute assumptions to the MSB paper if you can’t come up with anything better to debunk it with. (Comment #144)
Lambert wouldn’t see it that way, of course, but his attempts to debunk the study are themselves pretty convincingly debunked (eg see comments #111, #153, #180, and my own #3, #132, #150, etc) after which he doesn’t have much more to say. Still, his blog is sometimes worth reading – for the scrutiny of spurious punditry, and for the hilarious outbursts of pompous credentialism (such as when a poster who called himself Expert Statistician wrote: “Go get a PhD in stats, then we’ll talk”).
Postscript – Lambert on Main Street Bias
[The following was originally a separate post, from 22/2/09 - I've incorporated it into the above to remove clutter]
Tim Lambert wrote a second piece attempting to debunk MSB. This time he drew a corner of a map, hoping to show that there may be no sampling bias from “main” streets in the 2006 Lancet Iraq study.
I’ve drawn a map (see below) illustrating the problems with Lambert’s assumptions, although you probably need to be familiar with this debate for it to make any sense.
Please click on the map to see it at readable size.
Lambert has now replied to me that the road he redesignated as a “main” street (but which wasn’t shown in his own map) was the one which runs upwards through junction A (on my map). In his blog, Lambert describes this as an “obvious” main street, but it’s nothing of the sort (it’s half the width of Lambert’s other designated “main” street, for example).
The best that Lambert can claim for one of his secondary (or “cross”) roads (road 1 in my map) is that it joins another cross road (2) at junction A, and that the road which he has arbitrarily designated as a “main” street runs through the same junction.
In other words, even if a survey team agreed with Lambert’s arbitrary designation of the junction A road as a “main” street, it’s debatable whether (using the published Lancet sampling methodology) they would select road 1 as a cross street. Looking at Junction A, it seems equally (or perhaps more) likely that they’d class road 2 as the secondary street, with road 1 as a tertiary road leading off road 2. But nobody actually knows, since nobody knows how the Lancet sampling scheme worked in reality.
What this ambiguity over classes of road shows, at this level of detail, is that Lambert is misleading his readers when he claims that the MSB map (which he redrew) is “wrong”. The most he can say is that he has a different subjective designation of roads, which has its own problems in terms of plausibility.
Lambert’s map left out the least plausible part of his selection scheme.
Violating “fundamental standards of science”? February 4, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in Iraq mortality.comments closed
In what ABC News calls a “highly unusual rebuke”, the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has accused Gilbert Burnham, lead author of the 2006 Lancet study on Iraqi deaths, of violating its code of professional ethics.
According to ABC, the Association last brought such a charge of ethics violation 12 years ago, against rightwing pollster Frank Luntz. Burnham is accused of repeatedly refusing “to make public essential facts about his research” (on Iraqi deaths). AAPOR holds that researchers must make available for public disclosure essential information such as the wording of survey questions and other basic methodological details.
Burnham isn’t a member of AAPOR, but that isn’t particularly relevant given that the charge is of a serious breach of widely accepted professional ethics. In fact AAPOR seem to go out of their way to stress the gravity of the case. In their press release, AAPOR’s President, Richard Kulka, says the following:
“When researchers draw important conclusions and make public statements and arguments based on survey research data, then subsequently refuse to answer even basic questions about how their research was conducted, this violates the fundamental standards of science, seriously undermines open public debate on critical issues, and undermines the credibility of all survey and public opinion research. These concerns have been at the foundation of AAPOR’s standards and professional code throughout our history, and when these principles have clearly been violated, making the public aware of these violations is in integral part of our mission and values as a professional organization.” [My emphasis - RS]
David Marker (chair of the American Statistical Association’s Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee), in a Methodological Review of the Lancet study, raises the issue of the AAPOR-published “Best Methods” for prevention of interviewer falsification in survey research. He comments:
A few years ago, 35 leading survey researchers issued a consensus statement on how to minimize interviewer falsification of data (AAPOR 2003). This statement has been endorsed by the American Association for Public Opinion Research and the Survey Research Methods Section of the American Statistical Association. They listed eight factors that could affect falsification rates. Inadequate supervision, poor quality control and off-site isolation of interviewers were three of those factors that are present in this [Lancet] study. The remaining five factors (training on falsification, interviewer motivation, inadequate compensation, piece-rate compensation, and excessive workload) are harder to assess in this situation due to the limited information available on these topics.
In a paper to be published in Defence and Peace Economics, Professor Michael Spagat, of Royal Holloway, had previously documented areas in which the Lancet study appears to violate AAPOR’s code of professional ethics and practices: Ethical and Data-Integrity Problems in the Second Lancet Survey of Mortality in Iraq
See also:
http://www.aapor.org/aaporfindsgilbertburnhaminviolationofethicscode
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7869317.stm
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2009/02/04/america/Iraq-Civilian-Deaths.php
Alternative economics January 22, 2009
Posted by dissident93 in economics.comments closed
Good to see George Monbiot’s recent Guardian article mentioning things which rarely get mentioned in the mass media (or in fact in the “alternative” media): negative interest, Silvio Gesell’s “stamp scrip”, the economic experiment in Wörgl, etc. (I first read about “negative interest” in an interesting article at the Media Hell website.)
Another commentator with a different take on the economic situation is Nassim Nicholas Taleb, whose book, The Black Swan, blew a lot of minds. I watched Taleb in a recent discussion on Newsnight. He appears to have the opinion that some esteemed economists talk out of their backsides. Many of us think the same thing, of course, but Taleb seems to have the intellect (and “real-world experience”) to know what he’s talking about. Taleb: “My outrage is aimed at the scientist-charlatan putting society at risk using statistical methods”.
Other (slightly better-known) alternatives: Noam Chomsky talking about the economic crisis; Stiglitz on “market fundamentalism”; Naomi Klein vs. Alan Greenspan on crony capitalism in the US.
Apparently forgotten or not talked about: Robert “full unemployment for all” Theobald?* Henry “everything in nature belongs to all” George? Some genius in China that we’ve never heard of?
*That’s full unemployment. We’re so used to reading “full employment”, that our eyes may play tricks.
